The global container ship orderbook has grown to a record size of 9.1 Mteu this month, with close to 800 newbuildings in the pipeline. In relation to a world fleet of some 7,300 ships and 31.9 Mteu, it currently stands at around 29%.
In spite of this record figure, carriers and non-operating owners still appear hungry to expand their fleets with new vessels. Alphaliner understands that a fair number of additional newbuilding deals is still under negotiation these days, including a few big orders for large mainliners.
Apart from the industry’s need to get a more energy efficient and thus more environmentally friendly fleet into the water soon, there is another factor that’s driving ordering activity: Today’s super long lead times for container ships.
While the orderbook is the largest that it has ever been terms of capacity, it also stretches out far further than ever before, with some of the aforementioned ships only due in 2030 – five years from now.
The fact that many first-tier shipyards are sold out until the end of the decade, and that roughly one third of the vessel orderbook is for delivery slots more than three years out, has to be taken into consideration. In other words: today’s vessel pipeline already contains many ships that, under ‘normal’ circumstances, would only be ordered in 2026 for delivery in 2029 or 2030.
Source: Alphaliner