The Bunker fuel market’s transition from residual fuel to distillates towards 2020

Fuel prices outlook up to 2020:

Main assumption: Newbuldings equipped with scrubbers or run by LNG, limited retrofitting

Brent futures indicate prices to range between $90-95/bbl in 2015

Gasoil-HSFO spread to jump temporarily in 2015 ( demand shift to gasoil by 20-25 m MT)

LSFO-HSFO spread to remain high until 2015 and then to lower substantially until 2020

Cost for shippers will increase during sailing in ECAs after 2015, shift to scrubbers / LNG

No major implications for Mediterranean bunkering market up to 2020 

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