What Will Drive the Next Stage of the Asset Price Cycle?

shipping analysis and trade
Published 10/27/2016 by Adam Kent (MSI)

Across the board, shipping asset prices have continued to fall through 2016 and in some sectors we are now seeing prices at or below levels not seen since 1990, most notably for containers and dry bulk carriers.
The questions this poses are: how long will this situation last and which sectors will be likely to benefit from the recovery? To answer these questions there is a need to understand what drives second-hand prices and this essentially comes down to four primary elements: newbuilding prices, earnings, scrap price and life expectancy.

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